My canadian business

From Canadian Business Online Blog, Jun 19, 2009

 By: Tom Watson

Not many people see similarities between U.S. President Barack Obama, the proselytizer of change, and the former guy who ran the White House, the now-reviled George W. Bush (just in case you have forgotten). But independent Wall Street economist Robert Brusca sees things different than most. And he thinks the new boss at 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. is acting pretty much just like the old one. “[Obama] funnels money and changes rules to benefit friends—just a different group of friends,” Brusca notes in the current issue of Canadian Business. And “this has consequences, because he has mucked up the way the whole system works and the notion of risk-reward.”

Brusca’s comments stem from the treatment of bondholders during the recent auto sector social-planning/bankruptcy proceedings, which ran over the rights of creditors to fast-track government bailouts of General Motors and Chrysler. Since then, of course, Obama has started mucking with his central bankers, generating a wake-like atmosphere on Wall Street. Indeed, the White House announced plans yesterday to expand the power of the U.S. Federal Reserve, a move that actually involves handing the U.S. Treasury a veto over emergency activity launched by Big Ben at the Fed.

“Do we really want to have an appointed cabinet officer in our government wield that power over our so-called independent central bank?” asks U.S. fund manager David Kotok, chairman of New Jersey-based Cumberland Advisors. “Remember, it is the central bank that is charged with policy making to encourage low inflation and economic growth. The more politics gets into central banking, the greater the inflation risk. Politicians do not want to apply restraint. They tend to discourage higher interest rates as a tool to fight inflation. History is replete with examples of central bank policy failures while under political influence.”

Furthermore, now that Washington is playing with Fed powers, the Federal Reserve Act is exposed to all sorts of political tinkering as it moves through the House and Senate. “This proposal is on a fast track,” warns Kotok. “There will be public hearings, of course, but the decisions are being made in the smoke-filled rooms. The lobbying is already intense. We believe that the end result is coming and it is already known. The United States is extending a social-democratic form of government to the bulk of the U.S. economy.  We are applying an industrial policy to finance and banking, just as we are doing to health care and autos.

“We have already done this for years with the agriculture sector. The result is that we pay farmers not to farm and we get ethanol policies that starve millions of people, and we promote protectionism in sectors like sugar. That’s how industrial policies end up in social democracies. We are going to get one in banking and lending and the monetary business. The outlook is not sanguine.”

Add up the expected reach of U.S. interventionist policy (on finance and banking, agriculture, autos, housing and health care), Kotok says, and you get nearly half the nation’s GDP under an industrial policy in the new America.

“Larry Kudlow, take note,” he says, “free-market capitalism is dead.”

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DOUBLE TAKE: Aside from trying to promote myself while generating Web traffic that helps put bread and butter on my table, this blog aims to stir debate by taking a harder look at current news and events. I obviously enjoy voicing my own opinions, but I am a big boy and I welcome all comments that don’t require R ratings. So let me have it via this blog or send me an email at tom.watson@canadianbusiness.rogers.com. I reserve the right to post email comments without disclosing the sender’s name. If you don’t think I am a total twit, follow my DOUBLE TAKE posts via my NotSOCRATES Twitter site.

THOMAS WATSON is a senior writer, market columnist and editorial board member at Canadian Business magazine. Since winning a community journalism award as a cub reporter with the Hamilton Spectator in the early ’90s, he has covered business, finance, politics and technology for various news outlets. Prior to joining CB in 2001, he reported on the steel and automotive sectors for the Financial Post. Watson received two National Magazine Award nominations for business feature writing in 2008, winning a silver award for his coverage of Canada’s ABCP fiasco. He landed his first NatMag nomination for exposing a stock manipulation plot aimed at Waterloo, Ont.-based Open Text during the dot-com boom, when he headed investor relations for an international venture capital outfit in the City of London. Watson holds graduate degrees in journalism, international relations and public finance and undergraduate degrees in history and politics.

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  1. One Response to “ Red Dawn: The sequel (starring Barack Obama) ”

  2. Great article and very true. It is absolutely unbelievable what the administration tried to do to bondholders in the auto debacle. I was a bond analyst when I got out of business school a long time ago (I worked for Lehman Brothers in 1984 when it was THE top firm along with Goldman), and the only things that mattered was where the income stream to pay the bondholders was being generated from, and where those bondholders stood in the pecking order.

    Those who wanted greater protection “paid” for it with a lower yield. I guess under socialism (Obama administration) the idea of one group having greater protection than another group just doesn’t matter, even if mandated by contract.

    I am going to add your blog to my blogroll so others can find it as well.

    Mike Haltman
    The Political and Financial Markets Commentator
    http://politicsandfinance.blogspot.com

    By Michael Haltman on Jul 7, 2009

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