My canadian business

From Canadian Business Online Blog, Mar 26, 2009

 By: Bryan Borzykowski

There’s something most ex-Winnipeggers who now live in Toronto like to say to their friends back home: “There are three thing less expensive in the T-Dot than in the Peg: Sushi,  gas and cigarettes.” Unfortunately for Manitoba  smokers (and fortunately for everyone else) lighting up has just become even more expensive in the Prairie city.

That’s because the Manitoba government, which announced its budget yesterday, is hiking cigarette taxes yet again, by a penny per stick, to make sure the province can stay in the black. OK, the cigarette tax isn’t the most significant part of the story — I just wanted my friends in my former hometown to chuckle when they read that lede — what is important though is that Gary Doer’s government is projecting a $48 million surplus in 2009-2010, due in part to that increase in cigarette prices. Not bad considering how many times we’ve heard the word “deficit” from other premiers and politicians over the last few months.

However, just because Manitoba is making money doesn’t meant it’s resting on its laurels. Doer announced that the government will reduce its debt payments to $20 million this year, as opposed to $110 million in 2008.

The NDPers  are also taking $110 million from the province’s rainy-day fund to make sure money for health care and education services stays topped up. (That’s in addition to the $98 million they’ve already taken from the $818 million fund.)

Like other provinces, Doer is increasing infrastructure spending to $1.6 billion — a $625 million increase over 2008 — to keep the economy moving and jobs flowing.

Overall, it’s a relatively safe budget, but one Manitoba should be proud of. It should be noted that while it’s important the province is drawing from its emergency fund and has upped capital investments, it really isn’t feeling the effects of the economic downturn. Unemployment in February was 4.8% (the national average is 7.7%), most houses are selling above asking price and retail sales only dropped a half a percent, compared to 5% across the country. A big reason for the province’s success is that they don’t have a stake in oil and gas or manufacturing industries like Alberta and Ontario, respectively.

Of course,  Manitoba doesn’t grow as quickly during boom times for that same reason (to put it in investing terms, think of the province as a balanced mutual fund, whereas Alberta would be an aggressive equity portfolio), but right now, when beleagured Ontario is about to release its fiscal plans for the years ahead, an even keel economic climate — and a safe budget — is exactly what Canadians in other jurisdicitons wish they could have too.

More on this topic (What's this?)
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A Small Victory for the Budget Deficit
Read more on Budget, Price to Earnings Growth, Cigarettes at Wikinvest

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  1. One Response to “ Manitoba budget: Surplus for 2009 ”

  2. My question is, how can the Doer government say that they have a balanced budget with a surplus when they have dipped into the rainy day fund? isn’t that not balanced and not a surplus?

    By David on Mar 26, 2009

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