By: Joe Chidley
Calling for Jim Flaherty’s head seems to be becoming something of a regional pastime up Ottawa way, and I guess you can’t fault the Opposition for seizing what they see as an opportunity.
But should we really get overheated about the $50-billion deficit, which represents about 3% of GDP?
Now, 50 billion is a lot of money to you and me, and more alarming for some is that Canada is going into deficit at all. Others charge that the finance minister has got his projections wrong so many times—first saying no deficit, then a small one, and now a larger one, all in the space of a few months—that Canadians can no longer trust him.
On the latter point: that’s not really fair, is it? Sure, Flaherty’s forecasts were wrong. But so were those of any number of policymakers, financial institutions, economists, soothsayers and tarot card readers. Perhaps we should call for the firing of all of them, too—but Nouriel Roubini (the only guy who was right about all this?) can’t do every job in the financial universe, can he?
As for the deficit question: seriously, it’s not that much money, at least not in in the great scheme of things.
I attended the Laurier School of Economics Outlook event this morning in Toronto, and one of the speakers was William Gale, vice-president and director of economic studies at the Washington-based Brookings Institution.
Here’s what he said about the controversy over Canada’s fiscal deficit of 3% of GDP: “If we ever got to that situation in the States, we’d have a party, declare victory and go home.”
He pointed out that the projected US deficit this year is 13% of GDP….
The other speaker, Sherry Cooper of BMO Financial Group, was in general quite bullish on the relative strength of the Canadian economy going forward. She also dismissed the deficit fearmongering, pointing out that Canadians somehow have got it into their heads that all government deficits are bad all the time.
“Our deficit is cyclical, not structural,” she said, and predicted that Canadian-dollar-denominated assets will outperform US-denominated assets for a long time.
“We’ve got nothing to worry about except our politicians,” Cooper said, “and the misperceptions of the public.”
Granted, there are lots of questions about the government’s stimulus plan and its effectiveness.
But when it comes to the mere fact of the deficit or the amount—what is there really to worry about?





2 Responses to “ How to stop worrying and learn to love the deficit ”
I totally agree 100%, if we fire everyone who’s wrong or failed to predict the future, we will have nobody left
$50 billion is really not THAT much vs US printing billions of money
By Jerry Hung on May 28, 2009
You’ve gotta love how the Liberals blackmail Harper into deficit stimulus spending with that coup attempt but then now that there’s a deficit they cry foil!
By John on May 28, 2009