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	<title>Canadian Business Blogs &#124; Advice on Investment in Canada, Stock Market, Small Businesses Opportunities &#187; Larry MacDonald</title>
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		<title>The man with a Steadyhand</title>
		<link>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/the-man-with-a-steadyhand/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/the-man-with-a-steadyhand/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Nov 2009 06:07:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Larry MacDonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Larry MacDonald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[active management]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MERs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mutual fund]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Steadyhand]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=4218</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This week I spoke to Tom Bradley, president of Steadyhand Investment Funds Inc., a Vancouver-based, mutual-fund group launched in April, 2007. He wanted to fill me in on what his funds were all about (I had inadvertently overlooked them in an article I did on low-fee funds awhile back).

Normally, I tend to avoid actively managed [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This week I spoke to Tom Bradley, president of <a href="http://www.steadyhand.com/">Steadyhand Investment Funds Inc</a>., a Vancouver-based, mutual-fund group launched in April, 2007. He wanted to fill me in on what his funds were all about (I had inadvertently overlooked them in an article I did on low-fee funds awhile back).</p>
<p><span id="more-4218"></span></p>
<p>Normally, I tend to avoid actively managed funds, but Steadyhand is trying to break away from the industry mold and add value. To keep fees down, the firm doesn’t pay trailers to financial planners and brokers; instead the funds are sold directly to consumers. Accordingly, the MER is 0.65% on the money-market fund, 1% on the bond fund, 1.35% on the equity fund, and 1.7% on both the global and small-cap funds. That&#8217;s pretty good for Canada.</p>
<p>Second, Steadyhand aims to go back to the days when mutual funds didn’t track the indexes and build up assets through marketing campaigns and trailer fees. Their money managers are non-benchmark oriented and run concentrated portfolios with low turnover. In other words, they aren’t constrained to buying market portfolios and being closet indexers.</p>
<p>One thing that makes Steadyhand interesting is Bradley himself. He is the former CEO of Phillips, Hager &amp; North Ltd. and played a key role in building up that low-fee, direct-to-consumer mutual-fund franchise. PH&amp;N has been good to its clients over the years and has top offerings in bond and dividend funds.</p>
<p>Bradley reports Steadyhand has about 750 accounts with $90 million in assets under administration. He says his funds did manage to grow assets during the recent bear market but the increase was not as great as hoped for.</p>
<p>“It been a tough slog,” Bradley adds. “Our timing [launching the funds on the eve of the bear market] was not great.” So he intends to keep plugging away at building awareness and growing the client base until there is sufficient critical mass.</p>
<p>The equity fund is trailing the market but this is where active management may actually be a positive. The funds’ holdings are focused on a more diversified and higher quality group of companies (consistently generate cash and moat-like) than the resource- and financial-laden TSX. “Rather than loading up on these more economically-sensitive stocks to match the index, [the fund] focuses on the best that Canada has to offer and looks outside our borders to add more growth and balance to the portfolio [rise in loonie has offset gains on U.S. holdings],” notes commentary from the fund managers.</p>
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		<title>Quotable guide to passive investing (VII)</title>
		<link>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/quotable-guide-to-passive-investing-vii/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/quotable-guide-to-passive-investing-vii/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Nov 2009 02:42:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Larry MacDonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Larry MacDonald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[asset allocation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[diversification]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ETFs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[index funds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mutual funds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[passive investing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=4213</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here is Part VII of the Quotable Guide to Passive Investing. Part I is here. To scroll through Parts II to VI, click on links at the bottom of each page.

The Little Book of Safe Money
Jason Zweig
&#8220;The keys to investing are simple: diversify, keep costs low, buy and hold.&#8221;
&#8220;Like dieting, investing is simple but not [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here is Part VII of the Quotable Guide to Passive Investing. Part I is <a href="http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/quotable-guide-to-passive-investing-i/">here</a>. To scroll through Parts II to VI, click on links at the bottom of each page.</p>
<p><span id="more-4213"></span></p>
<p><strong>The Little Book of Safe Money</strong><br />
Jason Zweig</p>
<p>&#8220;The keys to investing are simple: diversify, keep costs low, buy and hold.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Like dieting, investing is simple but not easy.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;It is absolutely mandatory for you to keep a reservoir of liquidity in your portfolio at all times.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;No matter how valuable an investment may be or appear to be, it&#8217;s of no practical value to you unless it&#8217;s liquid when you need to cash out.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The biggest single holding in your portfolio is you: the income that your career will generate over the rest of your life.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Anyone whose human capital is vulnerable to the escalating cost of living should consider investing heavily in TIPS.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Wall Street is forever inventing another newfangled way to promise higher yield at low risk.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;In Japan at the end of 1989, the leading Nikkei 225 stock index was at 38,915.87; two decades later, it languishes below 10,000.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Invest as if stocks are likely-but not certain-to beat all other assets. Keep some money in bonds, cash, and real estate just in case they do better.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Stocks are not certain to outperform bonds and cash no matter how long you hold on.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Men should make a special point of having their wives review any choices the husbands regard as a sure thing.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;It is irresponsible for a husband to keep such tight control of the family&#8217;s investments that his wife will find them completely unfamiliar after he is gone.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;In the stock market, much of what seems to be patterns is, in fact, just random noise.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;You should never act on an investing idea the same day you get it.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Never invest in anything on the recommendation of a friend or family member alone.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Commit to a dollar-cost averaging or automatic investment plan that require you to add a little bit of money every month.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;If you are investing for retirement 30 years away, buy a total stock-market index fund and hold it continuously for the next three decades.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>The Millionaire in You</strong><br />
Michael LeBoeuf</p>
<p>&#8220;Money should be invested passively. Passive investing means buying and holding no-load, low-cost index mutual fund with performances reflecting that of entire markets.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Don&#8217;t waste your time playing the market. Own the Market, live your life and enjoy the journey.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Taylor Larimore&#8211;summarized the index advantage best: &#8220;Index funds offer much more than superior returns. They also provide maximum diversification, no overlap, no style drift, no manager changes, lower turnover, lower expenses, lower taxes, greater simplicity and peace of mind.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The master key to wealth can be summed up in just one word: Simplicity.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The main reason index investing is so successful is because fewer people have their hands in your pocket.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Timing the market is for losers. Time IN the market will get you to the winner&#8217;s circle, and you&#8217;ll sleep a lot better at night.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>The Only Guide to Alternative Investments</strong><br />
Larry Swedroe and Jared Kizer</p>
<p>&#8220;Some investment products are so complex in design that it is very difficult, if not impossible, for the average investor to fully understand the risks entailed and the costs incurred.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;When considering an asset class for inclusion in a portfolio, &#8212; investors need to consider the diversification benefit of the investment.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Recency is the tendency to give too much weight to recent experience, while ignoring the lessons of long-term historical evidence.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The evidence from academic studies demonstrates that equity REITs, both domestic and international, offer an attractive risk/return trade-off&#8221; and provide meaningful diversification benefits to portfolios.&#8221;</p>
<p> &#8221;The bottom line is that investors should consider devoting at least some significant portion of their fixed-income allocation to inflation-protected securities.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8221; &#8220;Only informed and disciplined investors should consider including commodities in their portfolio.&#8221; </p>
<p>&#8220;Unless they are highly risk-averse, investors should probably not buy an immediate fixed annuity until approaching age eighty.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Despite its low correlation with other portfolio assets, high-yield debt provides almost no unique benefit in terms of portfolio diversification.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;In times of crisis, the markets for illiquid assets can virtually dry up.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;For most investors the only way to obtain sufficient diversification of the risks of investing in speculative securities is through a mutual fund.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;After ten years the survival rate of private firms was only about 34%.&#8221; (2002 study)</p>
<p>&#8220;Private equity investors forgo the benefits of liquidity, transparency, broad diversification, and the access to daily pricing that mutual fund investors enjoy.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Understanding the difficulty of identifying superior hedge-fund, venture-capital, and leveraged-buyout investments leads to the conclusion that hurdles for casual investors stand insurmountably high.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;While preferred stocks offer relatively high yields, in general, they possess enough negative attributes to make them inappropriate choices for individual investors.&#8221; </p>
<p>&#8220;One of the rules of prudent investing is to avoid complex securities because the complexity is likely to favor the issuer.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The bottom line on hedge funds is this: They are &#8217;sinkholes&#8217; for investors.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Variable annuities are products that are sold, not bought.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Variable annuities (VA) convert what would otherwise be long-term capital gains into ordinary income.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Education, or a good fee-only advisor who is not influenced by commission-based compensation, can be the armor that protects investors.&#8221;</p>
<p>To be continued …</p>
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		<title>Quotable guide to passive investing (VI)</title>
		<link>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/quotable-guide-to-passive-investing-vi/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/quotable-guide-to-passive-investing-vi/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Nov 2009 20:47:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Larry MacDonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Larry MacDonald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ETFs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[index funds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[index investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[passive investing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=4205</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here is Part VI of the Quotable Guide to Passive Investing. Part I is here. To scroll through Parts II to V, click on links at the bottom of each page.

The Investor&#8217;s Manifesto
William Bernstein
 &#8221;Wall Street is littered with the bones of those who know just what to do, but could not bring themselves to do it.&#8221;
&#8220;Very [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here is Part VI of the Quotable Guide to Passive Investing. Part I <a href="http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/quotable-guide-to-passive-investing-i/">is here</a>. To scroll through Parts II to V, click on links at the bottom of each page.</p>
<p><span id="more-4205"></span></p>
<p><strong>The Investor&#8217;s Manifesto<br />
</strong>William Bernstein</p>
<p> &#8221;Wall Street is littered with the bones of those who know just what to do, but could not bring themselves to do it.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Very high returns are almost always made by those brave enough to invest when the sky is blackest.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Many investors lean heavily on past returns to gauge future ones. This is a mistake.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;No risk matters more to investors than that of running out of assets before they die.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The most spectacular example of luck masquerading as skill was the recent case of William Miller, skipper of the Legg Mason Value Trust.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Mr. Buffett is not so much a money manager as a businessman.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The Morningstar database suffers from so-called &#8217;survivorship bias,&#8217; meaning that hundreds of poorly performing funds have disappeared from their fund universe, all of which would have underperformed the index funds.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Over the long haul, the differences in the amount of wealth provided by different stock asset classes can vary enormously, and owning all of them helps minimize your chance of dying poor.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The investor should forget trying to pick stocks and mutual funds or to time the market. The best the investor can do is to maximize returns by minimizing expenses.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Age is the first factor determining the overall stock/bond allocation. Investor risk tolerance is the second.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The most important asset allocation decision is the overall stock/bond mix. Start with the “age=bond allocation&#8217; rule of thumb.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Be highly skeptical of sophisticated &#8216;black box&#8217; methods of asset allocation.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;China as had one of the world&#8217;s highest economic growth rates, yet between 1993 and 2008 its stock market has lost 3.31 percent per year.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Nations with the most rapidly growing economics quite often have the lowest stock returns.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Nothing last forever: more often than not, recent extraordinary economic and financial events tend to reverse.&#8221;</p>
<p>“The sooner you turn off CNBDC, get out into the bright sunshine, and take a walk, the sooner you&#8217;ll feel better about your investments.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;You&#8217;re not going to impress the crowd at your country club by telling them you own shares of an index fund. Let them laugh; the joke&#8217;s on them.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;If you&#8217;ve never been tested before, I strongly urge that you encounter your first bear market conservatively invested.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The most important investment ability of all is emotional discipline.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Do not invest with any mutual fund family that is owned by a publicly traded parent company.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Most retirees should purchase &#8216;longevity insurance&#8217; by postponing Social Security until age 70, and perhaps by adding a commercial immediate fixed annuity as well.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;In general, variable annuities come wrapped in enormous fees and are offered by insurance companies, that as a group constitute some of the worst players in the financial business.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Rebalance your portfolio approximately once every few years.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>The Lazy Person&#8217;s Guide to Investing</strong><br />
Paul Farrell</p>
<p>Investing really is very simple stuff. You can do it yourself.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Lazy portfolios are keep-it-simple, no-hassel, low-stress, time-saving, low-maintenance portfolios&#8211;so you can get on with the business of everyday life.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The only solution is to be in the market all the time and stop jumping in and out.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;In a study of 66,400 Merrill Lynch investors, professors Odean and Barber discovered that buy and hold investors actually beat the more active investors by a fairly sizeable margin, 18.5% to ll.4% over a six-year period.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;You don&#8217;t need to complicate your life&#8211;just stick to the basic Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio (50% S&amp;P/50% Total Bond Market) with no stress, except your little ten-minute annual rebalancing efforts.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Taxes, Time, and Psychology favor the laziest portfolios.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;A penny saved is a dollar earned, thanks to compounding.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Charles Schwab says that for every five years you wait to start saving for retirement, you&#8217;ll have to double your annual savings.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Kahneman was asked by a CNBC anchorman the day afer his Nobel was announced what investment tips he had for viewers. He responded, &#8216;Buy and hold.&#8217;&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Experience has taught me that the relentless noise from breaking news sources, like CNN and CNBC, easily distracts most investors from what really works in the long run.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Where does Fama invest his retirement money? In index funds. Mostly the Wilshire 5000&#8211;.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Perhaps the most amazing insight I got out of this review of the investment habits of Nobel laureates is the simplicity of their investing strategies.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>The Little Book of Common Sense Investing<br />
</strong>John C. Bogle</p>
<p>&#8220;Index funds eliminate the risks of individual stocks, market sectors, and manager selection. Only stock market risk remains.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Common sense tells us&#8211;and history confirms-that the simplest and most efficient investment strategy is to buy and hold all of the nation&#8217;s publicly held businesses at very low cost.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The brokers, the investment bankers, the money managers, the marketers, the lawyers, the accountants, the operations departments of our financial system are the only sure winners in the game of investing.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The lower the costs that investors as a group incur, the higher rewards that they reap.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Common sense tells us the obvious; while owning the stock market over the long term is a winner&#8217;s game, beating the stock market is a loser&#8217;s game.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;We investors as a group get precisely what we don&#8217;t pay for. So if we pay nothing, we get everything.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s amazing how difficult it is for a man to understand something if he&#8217;s paid a small fortune not to understand it.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Investment of $10,000, 1980-2005:</p>
<p>Index Fund&#8230;.Managed Fund<br />
$179,200&#8230;&#8230;.$179,200&#8230;&#8230;.Gross Return<br />
$170,800&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;$98,200&#8230;&#8230;.Pre-Tax Return<br />
$149,000&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;$61,700&#8230;&#8230;.After-Tax Return<br />
$65,000&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;..$23,100&#8230;&#8230;.After Inflation Return&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Don&#8217;t look for the needle&#8211;buy the haystack&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The average fund portfolio manager lasts just five years.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Of the 355 equity funds in 1970, fully 233 of those funds&#8211;almost two thirds&#8211;have gone out of business. Only 24 outpaced the market by more than one percentage point a year&#8211;one out of every 14. Let&#8217;s face it: These are terrible odds!.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;A mutual fund portfolio continuously adjusted to hold only Morningstar&#8217;s five-star funds earned an annual return of just 6.9% between 1994 and 2004, nearly 40 percent below the 11.0% return of the Total Stock Market Index.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Of the 35 newsletters (tracked by Hulbert) that existed in 1980, only 13 are still in business today. Only 3 outperformed the market.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Index funds endure, while most advisers and funds do not.&#8221;</p>
<p>To be continued &#8230;. <a href="http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/quotable-guide-to-passive-investing-vii/">here</a>.</p>
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		<title>Update: the HST rolls on</title>
		<link>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/update-the-hst-rolls-on/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/update-the-hst-rolls-on/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Nov 2009 11:18:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Larry MacDonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Larry MacDonald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ETFs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HST]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[McGinty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mutual funds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[retirement savings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[taxes]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=4191</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Ontario government is tabling its proposed HST legislation this week (tax to come into effect July 1). B.C. is also moving forward on its HST.

You can calculate how much HST you’ll be paying with this calculator on the National Citizens Coalition website
On Nov. 12, the Ontario Government announced exemptions for prepared food and beverages [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Ontario government is <a href="http://www.financialpost.com/scripts/story.html?id=2229049">tabling its proposed HST legislation this week </a>(tax to come into effect July 1). B.C. is also moving forward on its HST.</p>
<p><span id="more-4191"></span></p>
<p>You can <a href="http://nationalcitizens.ca/hst.pl?rm=show_hst_reg_form">calculate how much HST you’ll be paying </a>with this calculator on the National Citizens Coalition website</p>
<p>On Nov. 12, the Ontario Government <a href="http://news.ontario.ca/rev/en/2009/11/ontario-announces-new-hst-exemptions.html">announced exemptions</a> for prepared food and beverages sold for $4.00 or less and print newspapers</p>
<p>The Premier says the exemptions granted Nov. 12 <a href="http://www.thestar.com/news/ontario/harmonizedsalestax/article/725442--no-more-hst-exemptions-mcguinty-says">will be the last</a>.</p>
<p>Over time, the HST on mutual fund annual MERs can <a href="http://www.canadianbusiness.com/my_money/investing/article.jsp?content=20091101_20001_20001">add up to a large sum</a>. “… if you invest $10,000 every year for 25 years, assuming a management expense ratio of 2.6% and an annual rate of return of 6%, you will end up paying a total of $9,100 more in [HST] …”</p>
<p>Mutual-fund companies fear investors will <a href="http://www.canadianbusiness.com/my_money/investing/article.jsp?content=20091101_20001_20001">switch to ETFs </a>because the HST burden will be much lighter on their substantially lower MERs.</p>
<p>Mutual fund companies not headquartered in a province charging the HST (e.g. Investors Group in Winnipeg and Mawer in Calgary) will <a href="http://www.50plus.com/Money/BrowseAllArticles/index.cfm?documentID=22458">escape the HST</a> and thus have a competitive advantage because of the HST.</p>
<p>HST a <a href="http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/ontario-budget-hst-could-hinder-investors/">disincentive to saving for retirement</a>.</p>
<p>A recent <a href="http://voiceoftoronto.com/wp/2009/11/proposed-hst-and-2009-ontario-budget-measures-would-create-jobs-increase-investment-and-raise-incomes/">report by Jack Mintz </a>projects the HST and other tax cuts in the 2009 provincial budget would create $47 billion in new investment in Ontario and 591,000 jobs over 10 years (the bill will “introduce sweeping corporate tax cuts that will reduce taxes on new investment to 23.7% in 2010 from 33.6% one year earlier. That rate will fall even further, to 18.5 %, by 2018).”</p>
<p><strong>Summing up:</strong></p>
<p>1. Many groups and academics laud the HST as good for the economy. The PST is a bad tax, they say, because it falls on business inputs and cuts into capital investment and jobs. But hasn’t anyone thought of eliminating the PST on business inputs by instead cutting out some of the wasteful and unnecessary spending in the government? According to an international study, <a href="http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/a-taxpayer%E2%80%99s-rant/">25% of government spending falls into the wasteful category</a>. Wow – lower taxes without a material reduction in public services – wouldn’t that be much more of a boost to the economy?</p>
<p>2. Opposition leaders and various citizen groups have condemned the HST. But where were they before? The HST just makes visible the provincial sales tax that was hidden in the inputs purchased by businesses (and passed onto consumers). Shouldn’t they have been hammering away at the tax before (when it was, to a large extent, hidden)? Yes, but it appears Canadians are so dumb  that they’ll gladly pay taxes as long as they don’t see them (<a href="http://thinkexist.com/quotes/jean_baptiste_colbert/">like the goose whose feathers are getting plucked</a>).</p>
<p>3. The HST on mutual funds and ETFs doesn’t seem to make sense given the <a href="http://www.50plus.com/Money/BrowseAllArticles/index.cfm?documentID=22458">administrative and compliance problems</a>: i) funds have an inventive to shift headquarters to provinces not charging HST, and ii) charging HST on mutual-fund investors living in non-HST provinces is a challenge.</p>
<p><strong>Appendix:</strong></p>
<p>The <a href="http://docs.google.com/gview?a=v&amp;q=cache:8D4ZQI9LAPUJ:https://www.ific.ca/Content/Document.aspx%3Fid%3D3826+HST+investors&amp;hl=en&amp;gl=ca&amp;pid=bl&amp;srcid=ADGEESjZNFRyxn5RB4Q6oaocbb_8JGML_eaU2fEph0Oh5hRntyaW8VtlCsdIzxSMDRs5FUx0d0i1zumAntnQhgsEAdysEAZpW2i8VUcVhN6vL_xxczvjveo3h7ttkhKzdgmJaeusyiMS&amp;sig=AFQjCNFmuVyxZBMxs8d7_wiIQ8vZ2-jmsg">Investment Funds Institute of Canada</a> raises more problems with applying the HST to mutual funds.</p>
<p>“Ontario and B.C. will be the first provinces to levy a sales tax on mutual and other types of funds (8% and 7% respectively) as all Canada’s currently harmonized provinces provide rebates or equivalents to funds.”</p>
<p>“Canada is an outlier compared to other jurisdictions: European countries, as well as Australia and New Zealand, treat management and advisory services much more favourably than in Canada, whether through sales tax exemption or credits.”</p>
<p>“Discriminatory level of tax levied on funds: Under the GST and HST, the issue is not that mutual fund services are taxed; it’s that they are taxed at effectively four to five times the rate that guaranteed investment certificates (GICs), equities, bonds, term deposits and other non-fund financial vehicles are.”</p>
<p>“Some pension plans pay no sales tax at all and Canadians who have access to private-sector defined benefit plans also pay less tax than Canadians who save in an individual retirement savings plan. At the end of 2007, Canadians had $739 billion invested in individual retirement savings plans, such as RRSPs and RRIFs, which means that holders of at least 41% of all retirement savings in Canada were at a relative disadvantage to holders of other Canadians saving for and in retirement.”</p>
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		<title>Quotable guide to passive investing (V)</title>
		<link>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/quotable-guide-to-passive-investing-v/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/quotable-guide-to-passive-investing-v/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Nov 2009 20:40:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Larry MacDonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Larry MacDonald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[diversification]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ETFs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[exchange traded funds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[index funds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mutual funds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[passive investing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=4180</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here is Part V of the Quotable Guide to Passive Investing. Part I is here. To access follow-on parts, click on links at the bottom of the each page.

The Intelligent Investor (Rev Ed)
Benjamin Graham and Jason Zweig
&#8220;It is no difficult trick to bring a great deal of energy, study, and native ability into Wall Street and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here is Part V of the Quotable Guide to Passive Investing. Part I is <a href="http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/quotable-guide-to-passive-investing-i/">here</a>. To access follow-on parts, click on links at the bottom of the each page.</p>
<p><span id="more-4180"></span></p>
<p><strong>The Intelligent Investor (Rev Ed)</strong><br />
Benjamin Graham and Jason Zweig</p>
<p>&#8220;It is no difficult trick to bring a great deal of energy, study, and native ability into Wall Street and to end up with losses instead of profits.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Allocating at least 10% of your retirement assets to TIPS is intelligent.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The worse the future looks, the better it usually turns out to be.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The primary cause of failure is that investors pay too much attention to what the stock market is doing currently.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The key to rebalancing is having a predictable schedule&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;For most investors, intermediate bonds are the simplest choice, since they enable you to get out of the game of guessing what interest rates will do.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;For most investors, bond funds beat individual bonds hands down.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;If you had invested $1 in U.S. stocks in 1900 and spent all your dividends, your portfolio would have grown to $198 by 2000. But if you had reinvested all your dividends, your portfolio would have been worth $16,797.&#8221; (Stock indexes do not include dividends.)</p>
<p>&#8220;It is essential that (the intelligent investor) entrust himself only to firms of the highest reputation.&#8221;</p>
<p>If you find yourself trading more than twice a year&#8211;or spending more than an hour or two per month on your investments&#8211;then something has gone badly wrong.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;If you started investing $100/month in September 1929, your money would have grown to $15,571 by August 1939. That&#8217;s the power of disciplined buying&#8211;even in the worst bear market of all time.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The knowledge of how little you can know about the future, coupled with the acceptance of your ignorance, is an investor&#8217;s most powerful weapon.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Alan Greenspan said on January 7, 1973: &#8220;It&#8217;s very rare that you can be as unqualifiedly bullish as you can now.&#8221; (1973 and 1974 turned out to be the worst years for the stock market since the Great Depression.)&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;A great company is not a great investment if you pay too much for the stock.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>The Intelligent Portfolio</strong><br />
Christopher Jones</p>
<p>&#8220;Sadly, our educational system has been woefully behind the curve in preparing people for the heavy new financial responsibilities of a self-directed investment world.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Be careful of how your advisor gets paid. Conflicts of interest can yield advice that is not in your best interest.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;There are many ways to measure risk other than looking at just the volatility of returns.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;A study of investor behavior by the research firm DALBAR found that market timers in stock mutual funds lost -3.29% per year on average relative to investors who pursued a consistent strategy.&#8221;</p>
<p>“Unlike a mutual fund, it is quite possible for a single stock to lose all its value by going bankrupt.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Never make the critical mistake of being too concentrated in your employer&#8217;s stock.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Fund expenses are like termites. They can quietly eat away at the returns of your investment without you even realizing there is a problem.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;From the analysis of 22,472 mutual funds&#8211;only about one quarter of mutual funds were able to demonstrate performance that exceeded what you could achieve with a low-cost index fund.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Evaluate diversification at the household level, not at the individual account level.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;If you own a home already, you probably have enough real estate in your household portfolio.&#8221;</p>
<p>“Asset allocation explains more than 90% of the variation in returns for most mutual funds.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;You are virtually guaranteed to outperform more than two-thirds of the actively managed funds with low-cost index funds.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;It is very expensive to guarantee that you will have a certain amount of money in the future, but if you can tolerate some uncertainty, you can likely fund your future goal with significantly less savings.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The only way to be more confident of reaching a financial goal is to invest more conservatively and save more.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;All other things held equal, it will cost a woman more to fund her retirement than a man of the same age due to her longer expected lifespan.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;As an investor, you want to be cautious about investing in a fund just prior to it making a distribution to shareholders.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>The Individual Guide to the Top Mutual Funds</strong><br />
American Association of Individual Investors</p>
<p>&#8220;The most important factor when diversifying a portfolio is selecting investments whose returns are not highly correlated.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Bond mutual funds are attractive to investors because they provide diversification and liquidity, which is not as readily attainable in direct bond investments.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The higher the turnover, the greater the brokerage costs incurred by the fund.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The market risk measure used for common stocks is beta; for bond funds, average maturity is used.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Dollar-cost averaging works especially well with more volatile portfolios.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Top Performance lists are dangerous.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The classic response of funds that focus on small stocks is to migrate investments to mid-cap and large stocks when they start to achieve a large asset base.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Don&#8217;t forget that almost all fund performance data is reported without adjusting for front-end or back-end loads.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;One reason beyond low expense ratios that make index funds are tough to beat is that they are always 100% invested in the market.&#8221;</p>
<p>To be continued &#8230;. <a href="http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/quotable-guide-to-passive-investing-vi/">here</a>.</p>
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		<title>Quotable guide to passive investing (IV)</title>
		<link>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/quotable-guide-to-passive-investing-iv/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/quotable-guide-to-passive-investing-iv/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 14 Nov 2009 10:39:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Larry MacDonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Larry MacDonald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[buy and hold]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ETFs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[index funds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[passive investing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=4173</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here is Part IV of the Quotable Guide to Passive Investing. Part I is here. Then follow the links at the bottom of the page to access the rest of the parts.

The Great Mutual Fund Trap
Greg Baer &#38; Gary Gensler
&#8220;You cannot improve your returns by spending more time or money trying to pick funds or [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here is Part IV of the Quotable Guide to Passive Investing. Part I is <a href="http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/quotable-guide-to-passive-investing-i/">here</a>. Then follow the links at the bottom of the page to access the rest of the parts.</p>
<p><span id="more-4173"></span></p>
<p><strong>The Great Mutual Fund Trap<br />
</strong>Greg Baer &amp; Gary Gensler</p>
<p>&#8220;You cannot improve your returns by spending more time or money trying to pick funds or stocks. You can, however, significantly improve your returns by choosing vehicles that offer the lowest possible costs and the greatest tax efficiency.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;With returns corrected for survivorship bias, the average actively managed funds trail the market by about 3 percentage points a year.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;In October 2001, less than two months before Enron declared bankruptcy, 19 of the 22 analysts who covered the stock rated it a &#8220;buy.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Every study we have ever seen on the subject shows that the more frequently individual investors trade, the worse they perform.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The only way for an investor to earn predictably higher returns over time is by taking on more risk.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The basic thrust of efficient market theory, is relatively simple and extremely important: Information currently known about a company is reflected in the prices for its bonds and stock.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Accept the fact that you are unlikely to beat a market where prices are set by the consensus of thousands of professionals and where you have to pay a steep price for every attempt.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The most likely way for a fund manager to generate a high ranking is to take on additional risk.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;If you simply buy and hold &#8212; you don&#8217;t need to read investing magazines, watch financial news networks, subscribe to newsletters, or pay a broker to execute new trades.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Hulbert&#8217;s data show more than 84% of newsletters underperform the market over 5-years. Over 10-years, that number rises to 90%.&#8221;</p>
<p>Kahneman/Tversy Study: &#8220;A loss of $1 is approximately twice as painful to investors as a gain of $1 is pleasant.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The financial services industry spends billions in advertising to keep investors excited about the prospect of better returns around the corner.&#8221;</p>
<p>Daniel Kahneman, winner of the 2001 Nobel Prize in Economic Science: &#8220;Asked how he invested his money, he said that he favors index funds.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>How a Second Grader Beats Wall Street<br />
</strong>Allan Roth</p>
<p>&#8220;Investing isn&#8217;t rocket science. Wall Street experts want you to believe that it is.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Kevin&#8217;s magic portfolio: Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund; Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund; Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;We strongly resist thinking of ourselves as average.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;There is one way, and only one way, to build a stock portfolio that is guaranteed to beat the average dollar invested. For the U.S stock market, that one way is to buy the entire market in proportion to the value of each company.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;With only three index mutual funds, we can own many thousands of securities that own the whole world.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Cramer is a human cartoon character who rants about buying and selling and encourages others to engage in foolishness.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Lehman Brothers was the most admired securities firm in 2007 according to Fortune magazine. In 2008 it filed for bankruptcy.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;A recent study found that funds sold by advisors underperformed those that were bought directly by the consumer.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;We all know that most mutual funds greatly underperform the appropriate index, but did you know that the average investor underperforms the average mutual fund by another 1.5% percent per year?&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The beauty of a 3-fund portfolio is that it automatically builds the global portfolio without having to worry about standard deviations, correlatons, Sharpe ratios, and the like.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Never buy an instrument that has a fancy name like Enhanced collateralized debt obligation investment unit trust.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Investing is much more than maximizing our wealth. It also involves minimizing the chances we will run out of money.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Our willingness to take risk isn&#8217;t easy to quantify because it is difficult to measure and very unstable.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Remember that staying with your asset allocation is every bit as important as choosing the right one in the first place.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Make it a rule never to buy a financial investment you couldn&#8217;t describe to an average second grader.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;If the Wall Street brokerage firms were really so good at giving investment advice and managing risk, why did it take taxpayers to bail them out?</p>
<p><strong>Index Your Way to Investment Success</strong><br />
Walter R. Good and Roy W. Hermansen</p>
<p>For most individual investors, the benefits of indexing remain a well-kept secret because brokers, mutual funds, and other familiar sources of investment information routinely focus on products that offer substantially higher commissions or fees.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Expenses and other deductions from returns are extremely important, but other considerations, such as services and access to other funds provided by the same fund family, may also influence your choices.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;This time is different is a message that resurfaces in every bear market.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The index fund advantage consists of lower costs, deferral of capital gain taxes, and control of risk through more complete diversification.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Index funds save on management and marketing expenses, reduce transaction costs, defer capital gain, and control risk&#8211;and, in the process, beat the vast majority of actively managed mutual funds!&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>The Informed Investor</strong><br />
Frank Armstrong</p>
<p>&#8220;Each brokerage house or investment manager wants the public to believe that somewhere in the back office is a genius who can make you rich.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;If we don&#8217;t establish the discipline to live on less than we make &#8212; no amount of investment advice will help.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Market risk means that sometimes your equities will go down. It is only a function of when, and we can&#8217;t know that. &#8212; If you can&#8217;t get used to the idea, don&#8217;t go into the market.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Risk and returns will be driven far more by asset allocation than stock selection or market timing.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Investors must understand that a superior portfolio will underperform from time to time. If they are prepared for this disconcerting reality, they are less likely to find themselves abandoning their superior portfolio in favor of Wall Street&#8217;s deal of the day.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;My view is that, properly practiced, investing should be reasonably boring.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Rating services such as Morningstar&#8217;s star awards or the &#8216;Forbes&#8217; honor roll attest to the futility of applying past performance to tomorrow. If these two organizations can&#8217;t make useful predictions with all their resources, how can the rest of us hope to?&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Do the right thing: In every asset class where they are available, index!&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Mutual fund independent directors lack any discernible backbone and appear to be born with rubber stamps attached to their hands.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Discipline is the key to success for the long-term investor. He or she must not fall into the trap of managing holdings by newspaper headline, sound bites, mindless prediction, gut feelings, or the last time period&#8217;s results.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The primary cause of investor failure is the behavior of the investors themselves.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The &#8216;buy and hold&#8217; strategy outperforms the average investor by more than three to one after ten years.&#8221;</p>
<p>To be continued &#8230;.</p>
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		<title>Quotable guide to passive investing (III)</title>
		<link>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/quotable-guide-to-passive-investing-iii/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/quotable-guide-to-passive-investing-iii/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Nov 2009 00:27:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Larry MacDonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Larry MacDonald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[index investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[passive investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[William Bernstein]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=4158</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Taylor Larimore offers a guide on the Investment Gems webpage to the literature on passive index investing. Here is Part III of the Quotable Guide to Passive Investing, a condensation of his work. Part I can be found here and Part II here.

Enough
John C Bogle
&#8220;Not knowing what enough is, subverts our professional values. It makes salespersons [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Taylor Larimore offers a guide on the Investment Gems webpage to the literature on passive index investing. Here is Part III of the Quotable Guide to Passive Investing, a condensation of his work. Part I can be found <a href="http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/quotable-guide-to-passive-investing-i/">here </a>and Part II <a href="http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/quotable-guide-to-passive-investing-ii/">here</a>.</p>
<p><span id="more-4158"></span></p>
<p><strong>Enough<br />
</strong>John C Bogle</p>
<p>&#8220;Not knowing what enough is, subverts our professional values. It makes salespersons of those who should be fiduciaries of the investments entrusted to them.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;In 2007 alone, the 50 highest-paid hedge fund manager together earned $29 billion (yes, billion). If you didn&#8217;t make $360 million in that single year, you didn&#8217;t even crack the top 25.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Today, if fund managers can claim to be wizards at anything, it is in extracting money from investors. In 2007, the direct costs of the mutual fund system totaled more than $100 billion year after year paid by the investors themselves.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;It is essential that we demand that the financial sector function far more effectively in the public interest and in the interest of investors than it does today.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The 2003 failure of Arthur Anderson, and the earlier bankruptcy of its client Enron, was but one dramatic example of the consequences of this conflict-riddled relationship.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;In 1980 the compensation of the average chief executive officer was 42 time that of the average worker. Since then it has risen to 520 times.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Until we pay CEOs on the basis of corporate performance rather than on the basis of corporate peers, CEO pay will, almost inevitably continue on its upward path.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Nearly 2,800 of the 6,126 mutual fund that existed in 2001 are already dead and gone.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>The ETF Book : All You Need to Know About Exchange-Traded Funds<br />
</strong>Rick Ferri</p>
<p>&#8220;It is prudent to dig deep into the indexing methodology so that you can make an informed investment decision about the ETFs you are interested in.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;There are four methods of capitalization weighting used by index providers: full cap, free-float, constrained, and liquidity.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Beating the market is not just achieving a higher return &#8212; risk adjusted returns are a more sophisticated approach to measuring the performance of a portfolio or fund.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;To be a successful passive investor, you need to have an unwavering belief that the strategy will work in the long-term.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The correlation between asset classes change, sometimes frequently and suddenly.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;During a time of crisis, the correlation between major asset classes increase, for example, global stocks.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;If an investor wants to take more risk and explore other options, a core and explore strategy is a good compromise between passive and active management.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The key component for starting to accumulate wealth is savings consistency. Ideally, a young person will start a savings plan at the same time he lands his first job.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;If done successfully, tax loss harvesting will increase an investor&#8217;s after-tax returns.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>The Four Pillars of Investing</strong><br />
William Bernstein</p>
<p>“Anyone promising high returns with low risk is guilty of fraud.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Stock picking and market timing are expensive, risky, and ultimately futile exercises.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;A prudent course is to make the broad market and a lesser amount of small U.S. and large foreign stocks your core stock holdings.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Financial history provides us with invaluable wisdom about the nature of the capital markets and of returns on securities.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The message to the average investor is brutally clear: expect at least one, and perhaps two, very severe bear markets during your investment career.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Most investors are simply not capable of withstanding the vicissitudes of an all-stock investment strategy.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;A young person saving for retirement should get down on his knees and pray for a market crash, so that he can purchase his nest egg at fire sale prices.&#8221;</p>
<p>To be continued &#8230; <a href="http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/quotable-guide-to-passive-investing-iv/">here</a>.</p>
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		<title>Quotable guide to passive investing (II)</title>
		<link>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/quotable-guide-to-passive-investing-ii/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/quotable-guide-to-passive-investing-ii/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Nov 2009 11:11:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Larry MacDonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Larry MacDonald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bill Schultheis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ETFs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[index funds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Bogle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[passive investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Taylor Larrimore]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=4151</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Many books on passive index investing have now been published and Taylor Larimore offers an excellent guide on his Investment Gems webpage. Here is Part II of the Quotable Guide to Passive Investing. Part I can be found here.

The Bogleheads&#8217; Guide to Retirement Planning
Taylor Larimore, Mel Lindauer, Rick Ferri &#38; Laura Dogu
&#8220;Early retirement planning should [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Many books on passive index investing have now been published and Taylor Larimore offers an excellent guide on his Investment Gems webpage. Here is Part II of the Quotable Guide to Passive Investing. Part I can be <a href="http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/quotable-guide-to-passive-investing-i/">found here</a>.</p>
<p><span id="more-4151"></span></p>
<p><strong>The Bogleheads&#8217; Guide to Retirement Planning<br />
</strong>Taylor Larimore, Mel Lindauer, Rick Ferri &amp; Laura Dogu</p>
<p>&#8220;Early retirement planning should begin when you have your first full-time job.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;No matter what your risk tolerance is, your asset allocation should become more conservative as you approach retirement age.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Joint accounts are a great option for ensuring that assets are immediately available to a surviving spouse, child, or partner.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Count yourself lucky if you still have a defined benefit plan, but also keep in mind that it may go away in the future.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Variable annuities or equity-indexed annuities are products to be avoided.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Rather than rebalancing by the calendar, many people make changes only when their portfolio allocations are off by a certain percentage.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Each time you need to withdraw money from your investments, simply look at your asset percentages and take the money out of the one that is overweight.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Reverse mortgages should be a last resort for providing income.&#8221;</p>
<p>Your greatest asset is your ability to earn a living for yourself and your family.&#8221;</p>
<p>For younger breadwinners, term insurance is the only practical way to provide needed protection at affordable costs.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The more complex the product, the worse it is for you, and the better it is for the adviser.&#8221;</p>
<p>“Certain assets, such as life insurance … pass to designated beneficiaries if you die. A divorce decree will not change the designations.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;In the real world, people lose jobs, good health turns bad, more than half of marriages end in divorce, and other setbacks occur that can ruin a good retirement plan.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>The Coffeehouse Investor<br />
</strong>Bill Schultheis</p>
<p>“The investor who starts saving and investing $300 monthly at 8% in a retirement account at age 25 instead of age 35&#8211;ends up with an additional $604,195 in her portfolio at age 65.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;When fear and greed aren&#8217;t controlled, buying and selling individual stocks can quickly become a miserable experience.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;As long as Wall Street has a vested interest in lots of transactions and busy portfolios, investors will continue to latch on to the hype and hysteria of Wall Street, perpetuating the misconception that by carefully reviewing market trends, diligently studying mutual fund tables, religiously researching global economies and closely watching interest rates, anyone and everyone can own a successful portfolio.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Let go of the mistaken belief that the secret to a successful portfolio is to accurately forecast bull and bear markets.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The simplest approach to diversifying your stock market investments is to invest in one index fund that represents the entire stock market.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The top 35 mutual funds from 1978 to 1987 cumulatively under-performed the stock market average by 7% annually during the next ten years.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The most important factor when diversifying is to adhere to your asset allocation strategy, because when you stick to your strategy and rebalance your asset at year-end, buy and sell decisions are no longer arbitrary.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>Common Sense on Mutual Funds<br />
</strong>John C Bogle</p>
<p>&#8220;To invest with success, you must be a long term investor.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Suppress the temptation to add redundant layers of diversification.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;After nearly 50 years in this business, I do not know of anybody who as done it (market timing) successfully and consistently.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;When stock prices are high, investors want to jump on the bandwagon; when stocks are on the bargain counter, it is difficult to give them away.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The key to fund selection is to focus, not on future return&#8211;which the investor cannot control&#8211;but on risk, cost, and time&#8211;which the investor can control.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Backtesting, of course, should always be viewed with skepticism.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Choose a balance of stocks and bonds according to your unique circumstances&#8211;your investment objectives, your time horizon, your level of comfort with risk, and your financial resources.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Asset allocation is critically important; but cost is critically important, too. &#8212; All other factors pale into insignificance.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Most of all, beware of wrap accounts&#8211;packages of mutual funds assembled within a &#8216;wrapper&#8217; for which an additional fee is paid.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The &#8216;Equity Risk Premium&#8217; is the extra return required by investors to compensate them for taking the extra risk of owning common stocks rather than risk-free U.S. Treasury bonds. The average since 1802 has been 3.5%&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The simplest of all approaches is to invest solely in a single balanced market index fund&#8211;just one fund. And it works.&#8221;</p>
<p>To be continued &#8230;. <a href="http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/quotable-guide-to-passive-investing-iii/">here.</a></p>
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		<title>Quotable guide to passive investing (I)</title>
		<link>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/quotable-guide-to-passive-investing-i/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/quotable-guide-to-passive-investing-i/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Nov 2009 21:01:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Larry MacDonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Larry MacDonald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[passive investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rick Ferri]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Taylor Larimore]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=4144</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Many books on passive index investing have been published in recent years. Taylor Larimore offers an excellent bibliography on his Investment Gems webpage: not only does he provide a comprehensive list of books, but also a collection of key excerpts from each book.

Going over the quotes, newbies can get a feel for the passive indexing approach [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Many books on passive index investing have been published in recent years. Taylor Larimore offers an excellent bibliography on his <a href="http://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Taylor_Larimore%27s_Investment_Gems">Investment Gems</a> webpage: not only does he provide a comprehensive list of books, but also a collection of key excerpts from each book.</p>
<p><span id="more-4144"></span></p>
<p>Going over the quotes, newbies can get a feel for the passive indexing approach without the time-consuming task of reading each book (although some of them must be read by the serious student). As for experienced passive index investors, they can get a good refresher plus a reinforcement of their discipline.</p>
<p>I’ve been going through the quotes myself and filtering them down into a more manageable list that still conveys the essential themes in each book. My original idea was to create a reference for myself but others might find it useful too. Here is what I have compiled so far (with more to come).</p>
<p><strong>All About Index Funds (2002)</strong><br />
Rick Ferri</p>
<p>&#8220;When you are finished choosing a bond index fund, a total U.S. stock market index fund, and a broad international index fund, you will have a very simple, yet complete portfolio. This approach offers broad diversification, low fees, tax efficiency, and ease of maintenance”</p>
<p>&#8220;John Bogle, founder of the Vanguard Group, is one of those who believe in the one-fund concept. If you take Bogle&#8217;s advice, you will buy one bond index fund, and one total U.S. stock market index fund. There is absolutely nothing wrong with this approach.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Adding bond index funds to a portfolio of stock index funds lowers investment risk without significantly lowering returns.&#8221;</p>
<p>“Quote from Allan Greenspan: ‘This decade is strewn with examples of bright people who thought they built a better mousetrap that could consistently extract abnormal returns from the financial markets. Some succeed for a time. But while there may occasionally be mis-configurations among market prices that allow abnormal returns, they do not persist.’”</p>
<p><strong>All About Asset Allocation (2005)<br />
</strong>Rick Ferri</p>
<p>“Successful investing hinges on three steps: the development of a prudent investment plan, the implementation of that plan, and a commitment to follow the plan in good times and bad.&#8221;</p>
<p>Asset allocation is the cornerstone of a prudent investment plan and is the single most important decision that an investor will make in regard to a portfolio.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Simply stated, asset allocation is a means of spreading your investment risk across many different types of securities, thus reducing overall portfolio risk and subsequently increasing portfolio return.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Asset allocation eliminates the need to predict the future direction of the markets and eliminates the risk of being in the wrong market at the wrong time.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The starting point of a portfolio is its equity and fixed-income mix.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;If you are going to add only one additional U.S. common stock mutual fund to a core position in a U.S. stock market fund, I recommend placing about 30% in a small-cap value index fund.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>The Bogleheads&#8217; Guide to Investing (2005)</strong><br />
Michael LeBoeuf, Mel Lindauer &amp; Taylor Larimore</p>
<p>“Knowing nothing about investing might be a benefit. You won&#8217;t have to unlearn many popular beliefs propagated by Wall Street and the media that aren&#8217;t true.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Index investing is an investment strategy that Walter Mitty would love. It takes very little investment knowledge, no skill, practically no time or effort&#8211;and outperforms about 80 percent of all investors.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The most important key to successful investing can be summed up in just two words&#8211;asset allocation.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;An asset allocation plan is based on your personal circumstances, goals, time-horizon, and need and willingness to take risk.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s important for you to understand that stock and bonds go up&#8211;and they go down. You need to be comfortable with that fact.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;We know that by simply changing our allocation between stocks and bonds, we can lessen the amount of volatility in our portfolio until we reach our comfortable sleep level.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;A Financial Research Corporation study determined that the expense ratio is the only reliable predictor of future mutual fund performance.&#8221;</p>
<p>To be continued… see  <a href="http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/quotable-guide-to-passive-investing-ii/">Part II</a>.</p>
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		<title>William Bernstein&#8217;s new book</title>
		<link>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/william-bernsteins-new-book/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/william-bernsteins-new-book/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Nov 2009 17:01:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Larry MacDonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Larry MacDonald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[index funds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[low-cost investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[passive investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Investor's Manifesto]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[William Bernstein]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=4136</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[William Bernstein, author of  The Four Pillars of Investing, has a new book out. It’s called The Investor&#8217;s Manifesto: Preparing for Prosperity, Armageddon, and Everything in Between. What’s it like? Here is a summary and some highlights (in “Coles Notes” fashion):

much shorter and more to the point than Four Pillars
readers of Bogle, Swedroe, Swenson, etc. may [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>William Bernstein, author of  <em>The Four Pillars of Investing</em>, has <a href="http://www.amazon.ca/Investors-Manifesto-Prosperity-Armageddon-Everything/dp/0470505141">a new book</a> out. It’s called <em>The Investor&#8217;s Manifesto: Preparing for Prosperity, Armageddon, and Everything in Between</em>. What’s it like? Here is a summary and some highlights (in “Coles Notes” fashion):<span id="more-4136"></span></p>
<ul>
<li>much shorter and more to the point than Four Pillars</li>
<li>readers of Bogle, Swedroe, Swenson, etc. may not find too much new</li>
<li>one reader called it 4 Pillars for Dummies</li>
<li>more emphasis on simpler index portfolios</li>
<li>e.g. portfolios based on three broad-market funds</li>
<li>tilt toward small cap/value indexing not as prominent</li>
<li>seems more concerned about implementation risk and burden</li>
<li>&#8220;<em>More complex portfolios, particularly those with value and small stock emphasis, may have higher returns, but come at the cost of time and effort</em>.&#8221;</li>
<li>if young with less than $250k, recommends All World, Total Stock and Total Bond ETF; once older and richer, then slice and dice</li>
<li>less emphasis on short-term bonds, more open to total bond market </li>
<li>&#8220;<em>A perfectly simple and serviceable portfolio [for U.S. investors] might be: 42% US Total Stock Market; 18% Total Foreign Market, 40% Total Bond Market. That&#8217;s it.</em>&#8220;</li>
<li>Bernstein’s distaste for financial services industry as strong as ever: &#8220;<em>If rigorous precautions are not taken, the financial services industry will strip investors of their wealth faster than they can say &#8216;Bernie Madoff …The average stock broker services his clients in the same way that Baby Face Nelson serviced banks … Unlike your doctor, lawyer, or accountant, your broker is not a &#8216;fiduciary&#8217;: that is, he is under no legal obligation to place your interest above his … Don&#8217;t come anywhere near a stock broker or brokerage firm; sooner rather than later you will get fleeced … Do not invest with any mutual fund family that is owned by a publicly traded parent company</em>.&#8221;</li>
</ul>
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		<title>A watershed event this week for ETFs</title>
		<link>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/a-watershed-event-this-week-for-etfs/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/a-watershed-event-this-week-for-etfs/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 05 Nov 2009 22:26:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Larry MacDonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Larry MacDonald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[commission free]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ETFs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[exchange traded funds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mutual funds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Schwab]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[securities lending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Vanguard]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=4130</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[U.S. broker Charles Schwab’s launch this week of 8 new exchange traded funds (ETFs) could be a watershed event for providers and users of ETFs and mutual funds. What’s remarkable is that they have fixed their management expense ratios (MERs) even lower than the Vanguard ETFs and are allowing their ETFs to be bought and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>U.S. broker Charles Schwab’s <a href="http://www.schwab.com/public/schwab/investment_products/etfs/schwab_etfs?cmsid=P-3312891&amp;lvl1=investment_products&amp;lvl2=etfs">launch this week</a> of 8 new exchange traded funds (ETFs) could be a watershed event for providers and users of ETFs and mutual funds. What’s remarkable is that they have fixed their management expense ratios (MERs) even lower than the Vanguard ETFs and are allowing their ETFs to be bought and sold commission-free on a permanent basis through a Schwab account. Their current and forthcoming ETFs will be the lowest-cost vehicles around for gaining exposure to key asset classes (hat tip to <a href="http://www.WhereDoesAllMyMoneyGo.com">Preet Banerjee</a> for bringing this to my attention by email).</p>
<p><span id="more-4130"></span></p>
<p>Commissions have been one of the few drawbacks to ETFs because they can chew up accounts of investors who prefer to invest through dollar-cost averaging. This was once an area where mutual funds had an edge, but no more at Schwab and other brokerages who may follow suit (Preet wonders if this is what the Bank of Montreal &#8212; BMO &#8212; has in mind with its ETFs). So mutual-fund executives could be on the Maalox now. And so too might executives at ETF companies with no brokerage arms.</p>
<p>But how is it possible for Schwab to charge no commissions and MERs as low as 0.08%? In a previous post, I thought it would be possible for ETFs to get their MER costs down lower, <a href="http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/investors-wake-up-to-securities-lending/">even all the way to 0%</a>, by using fees earned from lending out securities to cover operating costs. This seemed less fanciful a speculation when a few months later, as Preet noted in <a href="http://www.wheredoesallmymoneygo.com/free-investment-management/">a blog post</a>, some ETFs had emerged in Europe with 0% MERs.</p>
<p>So that would be my guess in this case. Schwab is diverting the revenues from its securities lending operations to cover off its operating costs. With sufficient volumes of business, they could still turn a profit while giving investors big breaks on fees.  This is what <a href="http://www.riabiz.com/a/69007">Tom Lydons</a> of <a href="http://www.etftrends.com/">ETF Trends</a> thinks it might be too.</p>
<p>Indeed, it’s conceivable, as competition heats up, for MERs on ETFs such as Schwab’s to move to the 0% mark. It may not happen overnight or not at all, but there is a potential. Also, one wonders if established ETF families like Barclays Global, which currently pocket 50% or more of the securities-lending fees for themselves, might now feel pressured to switch their cut toward lowering MERs. Could they even possibly pay investors to buy their ETFs &#8212; or otherwise reimburse their trading commissions?</p>
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		<title>Riding Warren Buffett’s coattails</title>
		<link>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/riding-warren-buffett%e2%80%99s-coattails/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/riding-warren-buffett%e2%80%99s-coattails/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Nov 2009 13:40:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Larry MacDonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Larry MacDonald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Berkshire Hathaway]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BNI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BRK.A]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[buffett]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Burlington Northern]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=4126</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Now that Burlington Northern (BNI) is up 30% on a takeover by Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), some people have sent in congratulations for recommending the stock in a May 4, 2009 blog post. Thank you very much but I didn’t see the takeover coming; I was thinking it could take two or three years [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Now that Burlington Northern (BNI) is up 30% on <a href="http://www.canadianbusiness.com/markets/headline_news/article.jsp?content=b039238937">a takeover</a> by Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (<a href="http://www.canadianbusiness.com/stock_lookup.jsp?ticker=BRK.A">BRK.A</a>), some people have sent in congratulations for recommending the stock in a <a href="http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/buffett%e2%80%99s-one-good-idea/">May 4, 2009 blog post</a>. Thank you very much but I didn’t see the takeover coming; I was thinking it could take two or three years for Mr. Market to bid it up that high.</p>
<p><span id="more-4126"></span></p>
<p>And it wasn’t really a recommendation: it was more of a reporting piece that observed <a href="http://www.canadianbusiness.com/stock_lookup.jsp?ticker=bni">BNI</a> seemed to be Buffett’s “one best idea” judging from how big his recent acquisition of shares had been. Indeed, anytime I personally recommend a stock, you best run in the opposite direction, or at least view it with a healthy dose of skepticism &#8212; remember those past posts on Nortel Networks anyone?</p>
<p>Anyway, with Buffett now approaching 80, there may not be too many more “one best ideas” to cull from Berkshire Hathaway’s regulatory filings, regrettably. The days of riding Buffett’s coattails would seem to be near their end.</p>
<p>Then again, Buffett’s bold move could signal he is intent on deploying the mountain of cash in Berkshire Hathaway’s coffers before he leaves the helm. Rather than just leave it sitting there for his successors to possibly fritter away, he may be thinking he can do it better (and leave his life’s work on a more secure foundation).</p>
<p>The Burlington Northern deal will claim close to 60% of Berkshire Hathaway’s cash hoard &#8212; leaving $9 billion (U.S.) on the balance sheet (using figures from Richard Beale of <a href="http://www.breakingviews.com/BreakingStories.aspx?sg=www.breakingviews.com&amp;oldpath=default.aspx&amp;oldpath=Default.aspx">breakingviews.com</a>). So there could be a few more ideas flying out those regulatory filings over the next few quarters (with the third-quarter report due out mid-Nov.).</p>
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		<title>Higher interest rates in Canada?</title>
		<link>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/higher-interest-rates-in-canada/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/higher-interest-rates-in-canada/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Nov 2009 14:33:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Larry MacDonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Larry MacDonald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bank of Canada]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Canadian dollar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[house prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[interest rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[loonie]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=4119</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Rate hikes by the Reserve Bank of Australia have led some analysts to wonder if the Bank of Canada will be soon following suit. David A. Rosenberg, Chief Economist &#38; Strategist at Gluskin Sheff, is not one of them.

As he points out in today’s Breakfast with Dave: Market Musings &#38; Data Deciphering, Australia has a [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Rate hikes by the Reserve Bank of Australia have led some analysts to wonder if the Bank of Canada will be soon following suit. David A. Rosenberg, Chief Economist &amp; Strategist at <a href="http://www.gluskinsheff.com/">Gluskin Sheff</a>, is not one of them.</p>
<p><span id="more-4119"></span></p>
<p>As he points out in today’s <em>Breakfast with Dave: Market Musings &amp; Data Deciphering</em>, Australia has a great deal more exposure to accelerating growth in China. Only 3% of Canadian exports go to China while 24% of Australian exports go there. Furthermore, Canada has much greater exposure to the moribund U.S. consumer: 75% of its exports go to the U.S versus 6% for Australia.</p>
<p>Yet, interestingly, the Aussie dollar lost ground after the central bank&#8217;s latest rate hike in a “sell-the-news-buy-the-rumor” kind of move. Bank of Canada Governor Carney no doubt noticed that response and might accordingly be less fearful a rate hike would strengthen the loonie (as happens most of the time due to capital inflows). And no doubt he would love to raise rates to head off the <a href="http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/housing-bubble-part-deux/">bubble-like conditions fermenting in the housing market</a> &#8211; especially if the loonie remains well behaved and doesn&#8217;t inflict any more pain on the already hard-hit export sector.</p>
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		<title>Budgeting vs. Paying Yourself First</title>
		<link>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/budgeting-vs-paying-yourself-first/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/budgeting-vs-paying-yourself-first/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Nov 2009 15:37:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Larry MacDonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Larry MacDonald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[budgeting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pay yourself first]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wealthy barber]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=4115</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Despite making an average $500,000 a year (in today’s prices), the great novelist and playwright F. Scott Fitzgerald, never was able to put money aside. He and his wife thought the solution was to budget, to prepare a complete record of what they had spent running the household. But somehow, at the end of the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Despite making an average $500,000 a year (in today’s prices), the great novelist and playwright F. Scott Fitzgerald, <a href="http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/personal-finances-of-f-scott-fitzgerald/">never was able to put money aside</a>. He and his wife thought the solution was to budget, to prepare a complete record of what they had spent running the household. But somehow, at the end of the month, they were always over budget. There was continual “leakage,” leaving Fitzgerald and Zelda bewildered: “Somehow a mysterious third of our income had vanished into thin air,” wrote Fitzgerald.</p>
<p><span id="more-4115"></span></p>
<p>A good financial planner or book on personal finances could have set them straight. Roy Miller, the wealthy barber in <a href="http://www.chapters.indigo.ca/books/The-Wealthy-Barber-Gold-Edition-David-Chilton/9780968394731-item.html">David Chilton’s classic book</a>, initially had the same problem. “There was nothing left at the end of the month …. I had tried budgeting and it hadn’t worked,” he tells David, Tom and Cathy.</p>
<p>Then old Mr. White told the barber: “Pay yourself first.” That is, have 10% taken off your paycheck and put into a bank account or investment fund before you get your hands on it. Budgeting may work for a business because the owner wants to keep costs down but budgeting for a person is hard because wants tend to evolve into needs.”</p>
<p>You won’t notice it, the wealthy barber says of the automatic deduction: “I never did miss that money. My lifestyle didn’t change at all.”</p>
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		<title>Fortune, ruin and market timing in Thomas Hardy&#8217;s The Mayor of Casterbridge</title>
		<link>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/fortune-ruin-and-market-timing-in-thomas-hardys-the-mayor-of-casterbridge/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/fortune-ruin-and-market-timing-in-thomas-hardys-the-mayor-of-casterbridge/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Oct 2009 22:30:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Larry MacDonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Larry MacDonald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[active investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[buy and hold]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market timing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[passive investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[speculation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trading]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=4076</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In Thomas Hardy&#8217;s masterpiece of a novel written in the 1880s,  The Life and Death of the Mayor of Casterbridge, the destinies of the two main characters, the tragic Michael Henchard and the triumphant Donald Farfrae, essentially rested on the outcome of their trading in commodities.

Hardy would have us believe their fates were intertwined with their characters [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In Thomas Hardy&#8217;s masterpiece of a novel written in the 1880s,  <a href="http://www.classicreader.com/book/66/1/">The Life and Death of the Mayor of Casterbridge</a>, the destinies of the two main characters, the tragic Michael Henchard and the triumphant Donald Farfrae, essentially rested on the outcome of their trading in commodities.</p>
<p><span id="more-4076"></span></p>
<p>Hardy would have us believe their fates were intertwined with their characters but in speculating on grain prices, the efficient market theorists of today would say both men cast their lot to the random winds of chance. One, Farfrae, got lucky while the other, Henchard, did not. Needless to say, in both cases, today’s adherents to the school of buy-and-hold, passive investing would be appalled by their endeavors in this realm.</p>
<p>In the early going, Farfrae was Henchard’s right-hand man in a thriving grain-dealing business that had made Henchard one of the wealthiest men in Casterbridge as well as its mayor. But Henchard was, as Hardy wrote, a person, “…who might not inaptly be described as Faust has been described – as a vehement gloomy being who had quitted the ways of vulgar men without light to guide him on a better way.”</p>
<p>Jealous of Farfrae’s growing popularity in the town, Henchard dismisses him from his employ, whereupon Farfrae sets up shop in the same trade and shortly emerges as a rival. His commercial aggrandizement seems largely based on an active, short-term trading approach in grain markets. In Farfrae’s own words (speaking to Lucetta):</p>
<p><em>“Yet I&#8217;ve done very well this year. O yes,&#8221; he went on with ingenuous enthusiasm. &#8220;You see that man with the drab kerseymere coat? I bought largely of him in the autumn when wheat was down, and then afterwards when it rose a little I sold off all I had! It brought only a small profit to me; while the farmers kept theirs, expecting higher figures&#8211; yes, though the rats were gnawing the ricks hollow. Just when I sold the markets went lower, and I bought up the corn of those who had been holding back at less price than my first purchases. And then,&#8221; cried Farfrae impetuously, his face alight, &#8220;I sold it a few weeks after, when it happened to go up again! And so, by contenting mysel&#8217; with small profits frequently repeated, I soon made five hundred pounds&#8211;yes!&#8221;&#8211; (bringing down his hand upon the table, and quite forgetting where he was)&#8211;&#8221;while the others by keeping theirs in hand made nothing at all!&#8221;</em></p>
<p>When Lucetta spurns Henchard for Farfrae, it’s the final straw. Henchard sets out to ruin Farfrae financially by outsmarting him in the grain speculation business. He says to his new foreman, Jopp:</p>
<p><em>&#8220;I sometimes think,&#8221; he added, &#8220;that he [Farfrae] must have some glass that he sees next year in. He has such a knack of making everything bring him fortune.&#8221;</em></p>
<p><em>&#8220;He&#8217;s deep beyond all honest men&#8217;s discerning, but we must make him shallower. We&#8217;ll undersell him, and over-buy him, and so snuff him out&#8221; ….</em></p>
<p><em>The season&#8217;s weather seemed to favour their scheme. The time was in the years … when … the wheat quotations from month to month depended entirely upon the home harvest. A bad harvest, or the prospect of one, would double the price of corn in a few weeks; and the promise of a good yield would lower it as rapidly ….</em></p>
<p><em>It was June, and the weather was very unfavourable. Casterbridge, being as it were the bell-board on which all the adjacent hamlets and villages sounded their notes, was decidedly dull.</em></p>
<p>Henchard, supported by Jopp, “read a disastrous garnering [harvest], and resolved to base his strategy against Farfrae upon that reading.” But before acting, he sought confirmation from a weather prophet. After paying him a crown, Henchard hears the following prediction:</p>
<p><em>&#8220;By the sun, moon, and stars, by the clouds, the winds, the trees, and grass, the candle-flame and swallows, the smell of the herbs; likewise by the cats&#8217; eyes, the ravens, the leeches, the spiders, and the dungmixen, the last fortnight in August will be&#8211;rain and tempest.&#8221; </em></p>
<p>The last part was just what Henchard wanted to hear.</p>
<p><em>“The next Saturday Henchard bought grain to such an enormous extent …. When his granaries were full to choking all the weather-cocks of Casterbridge creaked and set their faces in another direction …. The temperament of the welkin passed from the phlegmatic to the sanguine; an excellent harvest was almost a certainty; and as a consequence prices rushed down ….</em></p>
<p><em>Henchard had backed bad weather, and apparently lost. He had mistaken the turn of the flood for the turn of the ebb. His dealings had been so extensive that settlement could not long be postponed, and to settle he was obliged to sell off corn that he had bought only a few weeks before at figures higher by many shillings a quarter…. </em></p>
<p><em>But he had to enter the Casterbridge Bank that day for reasons which had never before sent him there …. It was rumoured soon after that much real property as well as vast stores of produce, which had stood in Henchard&#8217;s name in the town and neighbourhood, was actually the possession of his bankers.</em></p>
<p><em> </em></p>
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		<title>Housing Bubble Part Deux?</title>
		<link>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/housing-bubble-part-deux/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/housing-bubble-part-deux/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Oct 2009 15:56:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Larry MacDonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Larry MacDonald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[house prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing bubble]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Teranet-National Bank National Composite House Price Index]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=4068</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Today’s release of the Teranet-National Bank National Composite House Price Index shows a vigorous gain of 2% in Canadian resale house prices from July to August. The national house price index (based on six cities) has now risen four straight months (and likely will show further increases in September and October).

Monthly rises in August were [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Today’s release of the <a href="http://www.housepriceindex.ca/">Teranet-National Bank National Composite House Price Index</a> shows a vigorous gain of 2% in Canadian resale house prices from July to August. The national house price index (based on six cities) has now risen four straight months (and likely will show further increases in September and October).</p>
<p><span id="more-4068"></span></p>
<p>Monthly rises in August were 2.7% in Toronto, 2.0% in Calgary, 1.7% in Vancouver, 1.5% in Ottawa, 1.2% in Montreal and 0.6% in Halifax. “For Toronto it was the fourth consecutive rise of 2% or more, taking the cumulative gain to 9.4% in just four months,” noted the monthly report from Teranet and National Bank.</p>
<p>Montreal, Halifax and Ottawa prices in August are now above their respective peaks attained during the housing boom. August house prices remain below boom-era peaks in Toronto (-3.0%), Vancouver (-7.7%) and Calgary (-12.9%).</p>
<p>This recent leap in house prices is putting housing back into overvalued territory at the national level, going by the <a href="http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/imf-study-of-house-prices-in-canada/">IMF model</a>. As for traditional valuation yardsticks (as mentioned in the IMF study) the existing state of overvaluation is becoming more substantial.</p>
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		<title>IMF study of house prices in Canada</title>
		<link>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/imf-study-of-house-prices-in-canada/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/imf-study-of-house-prices-in-canada/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Oct 2009 10:38:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Larry MacDonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Larry MacDonald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CMHC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[house prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing boom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IMF]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage-backed securities]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=4058</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[An International Monetary Fund (IMF) working paper released this month asks: Is the Canadian Housing Market Overvalued? The study concludes that house prices in Alberta and British Columbia are now only 8% overvalued while house prices in Ontario, Quebec, and Saskatchewan are close to equilibrium (as of end of the second quarter of 2009).

The IMF developed [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>An International Monetary Fund (IMF) working paper released this month asks: <a href="http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.cfm?sk=23336.0">Is the Canadian Housing Market Overvalued</a>? The study concludes that house prices in Alberta and British Columbia are now only 8% overvalued while house prices in Ontario, Quebec, and Saskatchewan are close to equilibrium (as of end of the second quarter of 2009).</p>
<p><span id="more-4058"></span></p>
<p>The IMF developed an econometric model from economic fundamentals such as disposable incomes, demographic trends, and mortgage credit for the period 1993Q1 to 2009Q2. It then used the model to compute equilibrium prices for housing in the five largest provinces.</p>
<p>The IMF study also looked at traditional valuation measures. At the end of June (before the recent spurt in prices), the house-price-to-income ratio was about 15% above its historical average (U.S. close to its historical average); the house-price-to-rent ratio was about 60% above its historical average (twice the U.S.).</p>
<p>The study mentions several factors that help to support house prices, They include:</p>
<ul>
<li>revival in commodity prices</li>
<li>lenders have full recourse to borrowers which makes escaping loans harder (unlike U.S.)</li>
<li>loan-to value requirement of 80% for uninsured mortgages</li>
<li>mortgage-backed securities represent 20% of the market in Canada (third of the U.S.)</li>
<li>government initiatives such as buying up mortgage-backed securities, expanding the Canada Mortgage Bond program to 10-year maturities, expansion of CMHC programs and a temporary home-renovation tax credit.</li>
</ul>
<p>From trough to peak during the boom period, new house prices were up 97% in Alberta, 120% in Saskatchewan, and 41% in the rest of Canada. Existing house prices showed similarly huge increases during the run-up phases.</p>
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		<title>Unbearable heaviness of tax system (II)</title>
		<link>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/unbearable-heaviness-of-tax-system-ii/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/unbearable-heaviness-of-tax-system-ii/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Oct 2009 12:41:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Larry MacDonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Larry MacDonald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[flat tax]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tax compliance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[taxes]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=4053</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[My previous post ended with the thought that a flat tax might be a better system than the monstrosity of the present. I was going to do a write-up on it but some readers wrote in recently and did a better job expounding on flat taxes than I would have (it seems this is a [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My <a href="http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/commentary-on-tfsa-changes/">previous post</a> ended with the thought that a flat tax might be a better system than the monstrosity of the present. I was going to do a write-up on it but some readers wrote in recently and did a better job expounding on flat taxes than I would have (it seems this is a passionate topic with many people). So I’ll turn this post over to them. First up is Dave in B.C. Following him is John Wesson:</p>
<p><span id="more-4053"></span></p>
<p><strong>Dave in BC writes:</strong></p>
<p><em>“Basically, under a personal flat tax system all income is taxed at one low rate, maybe 8-10% – no exceptions (subject to exemptions on income for single moms, people who are below the poverty line, handicapped people, etc).</em></p>
<p><em>All returns could be done on one page and the tax rules &amp; guidelines would be simplified down to a small book – not the current messed up set of rules on rules. It can be done and as a revenue neutral project to government – but who will undertake this on our behalf??</em></p>
<p><em>As I see it … Canada must streamline its cumbersome &amp; messy personal tax system. To me, the best way to really make it simpler, more efficient and, most importantly, as FAIR to all taxpayers as possible – the flat tax is far &amp; away the best model I have ever seen….</em></p>
<p><em>In its purest form, income from all sources (employment salaries &amp; commissions, bonuses, stock options, investments, etc) &amp; of all types (capital gains, income, dividends, etc) is taxed from dollar 0 at one fixed rate. Really simple, isn’t it?</em></p>
<p><em>In the real world, one would expect to see some modifications to a flat tax structure; possibly as an exemption for a certain minimal earnings amount for folks with very low income, disabilities, students, the elderly etc. This would replicate the relief they get under the current system and would be seen as fair &amp; equitable by most of my fellow citizens who are a charitable lot at the end of the day. Still, a one page tax return is totally doable! </em></p>
<p><em>Government could calculate what the flat tax rate should be tomorrow based on the revenue they currently get in the Great Canadian Tax Grab. TFSA’s &amp; RRSP’s would remain the same as tax shelters.</em></p>
<p><em>A flat tax system is mainly about fairness and efficiencies – but there would be a few casualties. For instance, the tax dept would not need thousands of the employees they currently employ to process our returns annually. Also, tax return booths that spring up each tax year may not get as much business. </em></p>
<p><em>Think about the big picture for a minute though – a pure flat tax is ultra-efficient, it’s easy to calculate &amp; administer, it’s going to encourage economic growth (and may encourage foreign investment but I need to chew on this one a bit more); and most of all – it’s FAIR. </em></p>
<p><em>Right now, there are office buildings where the cleaning staff pay more tax than the CEO &amp; CFO. Honest. The cleaning staff have little or no tax dodges &amp; loopholes. </em></p>
<p><em>In a flat tax plan, you pay a percentage tax on everything you earn in a year. So all of the corp. exec’s &amp; hedge fund mgrs that are under the gun currently for huge bonuses &amp; salaries would pay a flat tax on everything. We would no longer need the …“Robin Hood” mentality where government steals from the rich to pay the poor….</em></p>
<p><em>Don’t for a minute think this is a brand new idea, either folks. It’s already up &amp; running in something like 24 countries. Because it is so successful in places like Russia (tax rate 13%), Lithuania (24%), Czech Republic, Latvia, Romania, Serbia, Slovakia, Iceland, Mongolia &amp; others – many western European countries are currently considering a flat tax too. They feel they will be at a disadvantage if they do NOT install one as eastern European countries have higher economic growth rates now with it &amp; they feel “left behind”. </em></p>
<p><strong>John Wesson writes:</strong></p>
<p><em>Larry you seem to be planning a flat tax feature soon, and I am very much in favour of that for many reasons, but I fear the lobby in favour of the status quo will crush it like a bug underfoot. Lobbyists representing accountants and tax firms will mount such an anti flat tax campaign that it might take years for parliament hill to recover. It would, however, be nice to dream about a flat tax system for personal taxation in Canada.</em></p>
<p><em>Think about all the time currently wasted by millions of Canadians wading through the annual tax time drudgery. And what about the unbelievable amount of money ordinary Canadians pay to tax accounting organizations in order to avoid the pain of filling out those wretched forms each year. The fact that the Canada Revenue Agency (CRA) has created such a complicated monster is reason enough to adopt a flat tax system.</em></p>
<p><em>A flat tax would bring a sudden halt to all the pain involved in trying to understand the special kind of geek speak found only on Canadian tax forms. A flat tax system would probably reduce, by a significant number, the depression patients seen by doctors at tax time. Canadians would easily be able to figure out what 18%, for example, of their taxable income is. In fact, I can use my desktop calculator to figure out that problem in just under two seconds. Think of the joy involved in doing your taxes under those circumstances. It’s especially gratifying when you compound that pleasure with the fact that you would also save the money normally spent employing a tax expert to relieve you of the anxiety formerly imposed by the CRA by virtue of their nauseating volumes of tax regulations.</em></p>
<p><em>CRA could still provide necessary exemptions to protect low income Canadians, but high income Canadians would certainly have to pay up, especially if they could no longer wriggle out of paying the flat tax rate applicable to their level of earnings.</em></p>
<p><em>Some European counties have switched to a flat tax without any adverse effects on their economies or individuals so it’s not like we would be inventing the process. We probably couldn’t change the tax code as it applies to corporations and small business immediately, so that should keep most of the accountants and tax specialists off the dole. For the few who do find their opportunities diminished I hear the Canadian Forces are still recruiting.</em></p>
<p><em> </em></p>
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		<title>Unbearable heaviness of the tax system</title>
		<link>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/unbearable-heaviness-of-the-tax-system/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/unbearable-heaviness-of-the-tax-system/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2009 16:19:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Larry MacDonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Larry MacDonald]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=4047</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The kerfuffle over recently proposed TFSA changes raises once again the question of whether or not our tax system is way too complicated with its plethora of differential tax rates and exemptions. Concerns include:

1) It leads to sub-optimal investment decisions. People, lured by the tax breaks, take their eyes off sound investing practices and make [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The kerfuffle over recently <a href="http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/commentary-on-tfsa-changes/">proposed TFSA changes</a> raises once again the question of whether or not our tax system is way too complicated with its plethora of differential tax rates and exemptions. Concerns include:</p>
<p><span id="more-4047"></span></p>
<p>1) It leads to sub-optimal investment decisions. People, lured by the tax breaks, take their eyes off sound investing practices and make riverboat gambles with their money. A prime example is Labor Sponsored Investment Funds, where thousands of persons poured money into vehicles that went nowhere. A more recent example comes from blogger Michael James, who drew attention to the incentive thrown up by the TFSA to engage in speculation– i.e. people over-contributing to the plan and investing in risky securities in hopes of beating the 1% a month penalty on over-contributions.</p>
<p>2) It’s antithetical to low-cost investing. All the registered plans, exemptions, etc. create a demand for financial advisors to explain them. Being able to show us how to navigate through the labyrinth and reduce taxes, advisors get a foot in the door to sell a panoply of mutual funds and other financial products with embedded fees. If you’ve cast your lot with John Bogle, David Swenson, Larry Swedroe and other proponents of low-cost investing, it seems to me you have to take a stand against this absurd complexity in our tax system.</p>
<p>3) Look at the huge waste of productive resources that go into tax-planning strategies, the legions of tax lawyers, chartered accounts and other specialists. For a clue of what the costs amount to, look to economist James Payne, an authority on the costs of the American tax system: “he estimates that, for every dollar his government collects and spends, individuals and businesses spend another 65 cents in collection and compliance costs,” noted analyst <a href="http://www.fcpp.org/publication.php/107#">Peter Holle</a>. Wouldn’t our economy be better off if these people were instead employed in more productive pursuits?</p>
<p>4) And don’t forget the time and effort adult Canadians have to spend on comprehending and complying with the tax system – often arriving at misunderstandings that harm them and their savings. Then there are those with the smarts, or the money to hire the talent, to find loopholes and implement tax planning strategies that make the incidence of taxes more regressive at the aggregate level. As a reader noted: “<em>Right now, there are office buildings where the cleaning staff pay more tax than the CEO &amp; CFO…. The cleaning staff have little or no tax dodges &amp; loopholes</em>.”</p>
<p>Don’t we need a tax system that’s infinitely simpler? I’m no expert in how to get there, but from my limited musings, things like a flat tax look worth considering. To be continued….</p>
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		<title>Short selling leveraged ETFs</title>
		<link>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/short-selling-leveraged-etfs/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/short-selling-leveraged-etfs/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Oct 2009 19:45:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Larry MacDonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Larry MacDonald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ETFs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[leveraged ETFs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[short selling]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=4042</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[An email from David K. of Toronto nudges me to post on a point I had thought to include in yesterday’s column on short selling leveraged ETFs – but left on the cutting room floor. It concerns the strategy of shorting leveraged ETFs and the distinction between historical and future volatility in markets

From the table [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>An email from David K. of Toronto nudges me to post on a point I had thought to include in <a href="http://www.canadianbusiness.com/columnists/larry_macdonald/article.jsp?content=20091022_160526_756">yesterday’s column</a> on short selling leveraged ETFs – but left on the cutting room floor. It concerns the strategy of shorting leveraged ETFs and the distinction between historical and future volatility in markets</p>
<p><span id="more-4042"></span></p>
<p>From <a href="http://www.hbpetfs.com/performanceData.asp">the table</a> on the Horizons BetaPro website, it looks like a strategy of shorting both bullish and bearish leveraged ETFs would be profitable most of the time. However, the past year or so has been a rather volatile period and the year ahead will likely exhibit less volatility. In that case, the shorting strategy may not turn out to be as profitable as it would appear from the Sept. 31, 2009 table.</p>
<p>So, if one wants to give this strategy a try, some due diligence needs to be exercised to pick one’s spots carefully. The odds of success would be higher if one were to target the sectors likely to be most volatile, one of which seems to be the S&amp;P/TSX Global Gold Bull/Bear index.</p>
<p>Another caveat might be the availability of ETFs to short sell. Brokers may not be able to find any units to lend to a short seller.</p>
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