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From Canadian Business Online Blog, Nov 24, 2008

 By: Larry MacDonald

Buffett is 78. Why is he switching to 100% stocks from 100% government bonds in his personal account? As financial planners and advisers say repeatedly, stocks are for the long run. Only young people should have everything in stocks; someone close to 80 years old should have about 80% of their assets in bonds and other conservative assets.

Buffett wrote a New York Times article explaining his reasons for buying stocks. It has his usual clearheaded explanation for why now is a good time to buy stocks. Everyone is fearful so it’s time to be greedy. But there wasn’t any explanation why he was ignoring a basic precept of financial planning.

Is he buying out of force of habit? Markets are down, so he buys stocks just like he always has for half a century? Could it be the emperor doesn’t have any clothes on?

More likely there are some caveats to the conventional approach to portfolio management over the lifecycle. Maybe an all-stock portfolio is OK for a 78 year old when they have a modest lifestyle and a nest egg large enough to live for decades off dividends and draw downs of principal regardless of market conditions? Or maybe his personal estate is to be passed on to his beneficiaries with the stipulation that it be disbursed in stages over the long run?

Note: Apologies to commentors whose comments to a previous version of this post were inadvertently lost. You are wlecome to resubmit them.

More on this topic (What's this?)
Berkshire Hathaway Portfolio Changes for the quarter
Warren Buffett – The Ultimate Dividend Investor
Read more on Warren Buffett, Bond Investing at Wikinvest

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  1. One Response to “ Buffett’s switch to stocks ”

  2. I heard someone else make a similar point: Buffet’s always had a long time horizon, but he’s not _immortal_.

    …Or maybe the secret to longevity has been discovered, and is only currently available to billionaires.

    By Potato on Nov 26, 2008

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