Comments on: Best time to invest http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/best-time-to-invest/ Fri, 20 Nov 2009 07:52:10 -0500 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.4 hourly 1 By: Best Time To Ivest is November - April. Theoretically | thetechnicaltrader.net http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/best-time-to-invest/comment-page-1/#comment-2692 Best Time To Ivest is November - April. Theoretically | thetechnicaltrader.net Mon, 08 Dec 2008 09:22:28 +0000 http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=439#comment-2692 [...] Heres the full article [...] [...] Heres the full article [...]

]]> By: Larry MacDonald http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/best-time-to-invest/comment-page-1/#comment-2664 Larry MacDonald Sun, 07 Dec 2008 10:11:23 +0000 http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=439#comment-2664 Neil: Haven't read the book. But I'll put it on my list for sure. LM Neil:
Haven’t read the book. But I’ll put it on my list for sure.
LM

]]> By: Neil http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/best-time-to-invest/comment-page-1/#comment-2657 Neil Sun, 07 Dec 2008 01:49:47 +0000 http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=439#comment-2657 Sorry for the mistake. Have you read his book? Its a great read. cheers Sorry for the mistake. Have you read his book?

Its a great read. cheers

]]> By: Larry MacDonald http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/best-time-to-invest/comment-page-1/#comment-2607 Larry MacDonald Fri, 05 Dec 2008 10:53:48 +0000 http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=439#comment-2607 Neil I think Larry Williams wrote The Right Stock at the Right Time. LM Neil
I think Larry Williams wrote The Right Stock at the Right Time.
LM

]]> By: Canadian Personal Finance Blog » Blog Archive » Random Thoughts - Leaky Pipes Edition http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/best-time-to-invest/comment-page-1/#comment-2603 Canadian Personal Finance Blog » Blog Archive » Random Thoughts - Leaky Pipes Edition Fri, 05 Dec 2008 06:59:07 +0000 http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=439#comment-2603 [...] MacDonald points out the Best Time to Invest is Now, if you have the [...] [...] MacDonald points out the Best Time to Invest is Now, if you have the [...]

]]> By: Neil Bowie http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/best-time-to-invest/comment-page-1/#comment-2602 Neil Bowie Fri, 05 Dec 2008 06:17:35 +0000 http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=439#comment-2602 Interesting article Larry If your readers are interested in what history has to offer in stock market cycles and trends etc, I suggest they pickup a copy of your book, The Right Stock at the Right Time. I constantly refer to it, more so now than ever, one of the best financial books I have ever read. Thanks for writing it. Interesting article Larry

If your readers are interested in what history has to offer in stock market cycles and trends etc, I suggest they pickup a copy of your book, The Right Stock at the Right Time. I constantly refer to it, more so now than ever, one of the best financial books I have ever read.
Thanks for writing it.

]]> By: John Gan http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/best-time-to-invest/comment-page-1/#comment-2542 John Gan Tue, 02 Dec 2008 06:39:34 +0000 http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=439#comment-2542 Larry, Sold my HNU today which I bought only last Friday at a small profit. I was freaked out by oil trading down while HNU moved up today. I was also stopped out of my positons today on my longs on Nov.20,21,24,25. With the cash, I have limit orders to get in again with HNU (natural gas price is low and winter is approaching), HOU (oil is oversold short term), BCE (waiting for hedge and arbritrage funds to liquidate), HDD (waiting for Can $ to weaken due to politial uncertaity), HXU (waiting for index to retest lows), SU (low valuation)and SLF (value). All of the above except for BCE and HOU, I had bought earlier and just sold today. I had expected the market to be softer today after the runup of last week, but did not expect such a big drop. Not sure when Cdn and US market will retest the lows of 20/21 Nov but I quite sure we'll test it. If that level does not hold, we will be in serious trouble. John Larry,

Sold my HNU today which I bought only last Friday at a small profit. I was freaked out by oil trading down while HNU moved up today. I was also stopped out of my positons today on my longs on Nov.20,21,24,25. With the cash, I have limit orders to get in again with HNU (natural gas price is low and winter is approaching), HOU (oil is oversold short term), BCE (waiting for hedge and arbritrage funds to liquidate), HDD (waiting for Can $ to weaken due to politial uncertaity), HXU (waiting for index to retest lows), SU (low valuation)and SLF (value). All of the above except for BCE and HOU, I had bought
earlier and just sold today. I had expected the market to be softer today after the runup of last week, but did not expect such a big drop. Not sure when Cdn and US market will retest the lows of 20/21 Nov but I quite sure we’ll test it. If that level does not hold, we will be in serious trouble.

John

]]> By: Larry MacDonald http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/best-time-to-invest/comment-page-1/#comment-2521 Larry MacDonald Mon, 01 Dec 2008 10:49:44 +0000 http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=439#comment-2521 John I was thinking of buying a gas ETF too. I'd like to hear your reasons for buying. LM John
I was thinking of buying a gas ETF too. I’d like to hear your reasons for buying.
LM

]]> By: John Gan http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/best-time-to-invest/comment-page-1/#comment-2513 John Gan Mon, 01 Dec 2008 03:51:38 +0000 http://blog.canadianbusiness.com/?p=439#comment-2513 Larry, The probability of the Almanac being correct this time is very high. In fact the broad index is already up 20% from it's Nov. low. Combine this with a historical positive return for the S&P index in next 6 months following a bear market drop in Sept and October, lower interest rates to come, the Obama effect, Santa Claus rally, extreme pessimism, etc, all this is a perfect set up for a short term recovery in the stock market. However come the first half of 2009, the full effect of the credit crisis, recession, unemployment, bankcrupcies will result in more bad news, driving stocks price down by April/May. So I agree that the best time to get in is now, and to sell by May 2009, go away on vacation with the profits and come back to the market again in Nov. 2009. Personally, I was a bit timid and did not put my full weighting into the market 2 Thursday ago when the index hit my target of SPY at $75. I was distracted by some projecting that the S&P could drop to 600 (SPY at $60). Oh well, at least I put some money to work from 20th. My latest buy was the double bull Natural Gas, HNU on Friday when it was down 13%. John Larry,

The probability of the Almanac being correct this time is very high. In fact the broad index is already up 20% from it’s Nov. low. Combine this with a historical positive return for the S&P index in next 6 months following a bear market drop in Sept and October, lower interest rates to come, the Obama effect, Santa Claus rally, extreme pessimism, etc, all this is a perfect set up for a short term recovery in the stock market.

However come the first half of 2009, the full effect of the credit crisis, recession, unemployment, bankcrupcies will result in more bad news, driving stocks price down by April/May. So I agree that the best time to get in is now, and to sell by May 2009, go away on vacation with the profits and come back to the market again in Nov. 2009.

Personally, I was a bit timid and did not put my full weighting into the market 2 Thursday ago when the index hit my target of SPY at $75. I was distracted by some projecting that the S&P could drop to 600 (SPY at $60). Oh well, at least I put some money to work from 20th. My latest buy was the double bull Natural Gas,
HNU on Friday when it was down 13%.

John

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